Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 353.991069 402.376449 456.465530 521.691783 598.584390 686.796150 796.295587
2025-07-20 292.459048 357.991623 438.243158 544.937982 684.864021 864.663732 1117.371383
2025-07-27 252.864643 324.242032 416.870214 548.140712 733.124159 990.351018 1385.850020
2025-08-03 219.121602 291.020694 388.552110 533.823379 750.588745 1072.050878 1604.988865
2025-08-10 194.602857 266.131897 366.838607 523.346046 768.772485 1154.101795 1838.163568
2025-08-17 182.202864 256.267058 364.359058 539.485062 828.045905 1308.113904 2223.223365
2025-08-24 167.435977 241.003732 351.618250 537.209305 856.199236 1414.251605 2547.413935
2025-08-31 153.491920 225.386029 336.317400 528.245445 870.753406 1497.801114 2847.512277
2025-09-07 143.850740 215.379114 328.581052 530.488182 904.634675 1622.026068 3262.599345
2025-09-14 132.849726 202.146184 314.160420 519.134287 911.345975 1694.022728 3581.917204
2025-09-21 124.957511 193.235120 305.974520 517.706530 936.392139 1807.288281 4029.874141
2025-09-28 114.407617 179.057665 287.513874 495.219517 916.318696 1820.584484 4232.252455
2025-10-05 111.533134 177.773350 291.620265 516.305008 989.849414 2059.088273 5119.854390
2025-10-12 109.097689 177.040927 296.643970 539.886674 1073.067700 2340.752448 6250.530786
2025-10-19 104.042305 171.245809 291.813537 542.983395 1111.314419 2521.138726 7150.669272
2025-10-26 97.249152 161.815071 279.357513 528.836449 1107.567764 2592.317592 7721.296935
2025-11-02 91.539854 153.953680 269.230431 518.476745 1111.257955 2684.739948 8411.349878
2025-11-09 89.357877 152.432839 271.192329 534.433177 1181.989758 2983.102784 10035.227972
2025-11-16 85.327802 147.146336 265.270150 532.183240 1206.302349 3151.918483 11233.679976
2025-11-23 80.927981 140.862607 256.847970 523.320894 1211.960680 3265.316579 12259.459461
2025-11-30 77.967623 137.157062 253.374458 525.538266 1247.879190 3485.699260 13930.434897
2025-12-07 73.940876 131.116822 244.618005 514.312543 1244.850114 3576.051158 15015.239563
2025-12-14 71.095736 127.239924 240.116067 512.900862 1269.687487 3770.803317 16807.612831